Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 6.785054 7.898033 9.100205 10.490866 12.050705 13.741752 15.709005
2026-01-18 5.041187 6.469450 8.132742 10.196093 12.669132 15.519534 19.033640
2026-01-25 4.004495 5.551990 7.462940 9.962417 13.108370 16.897780 21.764337
2026-02-01 3.255512 4.834276 6.886529 9.695300 13.378527 17.978899 24.085403
2026-02-08 2.694276 4.263698 6.401904 9.449735 13.593422 18.934098 26.226292
2026-02-15 2.231951 3.756045 5.927687 9.143370 13.663227 19.657411 28.051935
2026-02-22 1.964015 3.490165 5.751782 9.212381 14.215828 21.011955 30.731587
2026-03-01 1.731073 3.243259 5.570258 9.243131 14.695384 22.266462 33.304455
2026-03-08 1.543963 3.042705 5.432741 9.315896 15.222062 23.590261 36.004180
2026-03-15 1.369775 2.839081 5.266143 9.322203 15.637351 24.758473 38.513540
2026-03-22 1.267065 2.745726 5.264556 9.577630 16.428392 26.485223 41.862315
2026-03-29 1.165352 2.640133 5.230034 9.771625 17.126308 28.092903 45.083782
2026-04-05 1.046370 2.488339 5.105275 9.812315 17.592400 29.384902 47.908280
2026-04-12 0.894074 2.248965 4.802253 9.528585 17.521283 29.858119 49.532171
2026-04-19 0.770993 2.049826 4.549930 9.307390 17.529652 30.440049 51.322752
2026-04-26 0.660609 1.859686 4.293323 9.054757 17.463990 30.893022 52.918622
2026-05-03 0.567186 1.691472 4.060075 8.822574 17.412674 31.356005 54.531781
2026-05-10 0.480620 1.523555 3.808169 8.532991 17.240190 31.608673 55.813103
2026-05-17 0.436458 1.452429 3.747283 8.598213 17.686748 32.874606 58.720803
2026-05-24 0.393946 1.378099 3.671519 8.627277 18.066579 34.038861 61.494102
2026-05-31 0.358820 1.317322 3.618620 8.696054 18.517984 35.332545 64.506262
2026-06-07 0.322893 1.247576 3.538116 8.702016 18.851379 36.434585 67.232454
2026-06-14 0.305447 1.228652 3.571925 8.943492 19.630622 38.314433 71.276650